IITM Pune develops model to predict heat waves three weeks in advance

Researchers at Pune's Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology have developed a model that can predict heat waves three weeks in advance. It can predict the date of onset, duration and demise of the forthcoming spell of heat waves, with a small spatial and temporal error.  The prediction system has been successfully transferred to the Indian … Continue reading IITM Pune develops model to predict heat waves three weeks in advance

IITM: Ocean mean temperature better predicts Indian summer monsoon

Researchers at Pune's Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology report that ocean mean temperature is more accurate in predicting Indian monsoon than sea surface temperature, which is used routinely. While the sea surface temperature (SST) showed 60% success rate in correctly predicting Indian monsoon during 1993-2017, the ocean mean temperature (OMT) had 80% success rate. Sea surface … Continue reading IITM: Ocean mean temperature better predicts Indian summer monsoon

Three-fold increase in extreme rainfall events over central India

Summer monsoon rainfall over central India has reduced by 10% on average, while there has been three-fold increase in extreme rainfall events between 1950 and 2015. There will be further increase in extreme rainfall events over most parts of the Indian subcontinent by the end of the century. There has been an average 10% decline in … Continue reading Three-fold increase in extreme rainfall events over central India